Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 8.070532 9.007968 10.065809 11.359769 12.916368 14.750373 17.108144
2024-12-22 6.575033 7.765462 9.232138 11.216314 13.904509 17.540357 23.065661
2024-12-29 5.925618 7.272868 9.037836 11.609823 15.435883 21.253915 31.596689
2025-01-05 5.230152 6.575672 8.408713 11.214686 15.668602 23.052090 37.937629
2025-01-12 4.675513 5.983095 7.817012 10.731787 15.601556 24.271741 43.815541
2025-01-19 4.276028 5.555800 7.396725 10.422052 15.719116 25.814003 51.309269
2025-01-26 4.018234 5.300841 7.193561 10.412878 16.336488 28.505707 63.681300
2025-02-02 3.984868 5.366475 7.478063 11.247944 18.705605 35.905860 98.571667
2025-02-09 3.883428 5.316315 7.568916 11.754677 20.566100 43.157970 148.127055
2025-02-16 3.708301 5.134940 7.422680 11.797681 21.441773 48.304072 203.471524
2025-02-23 3.616509 5.076348 7.473709 12.222212 23.314869 57.812345 337.897517
2025-03-02 3.375123 4.758661 7.048614 11.637934 22.573483 57.946846 388.248473
2025-03-09 3.195983 4.548368 6.824089 11.500447 23.133465 64.246957 616.359399
2025-03-16 3.030654 4.352675 6.613845 11.378002 23.764013 71.934533 1140.551047
2025-03-23 2.951834 4.294616 6.645259 11.781075 26.045700 90.757059 5432.260155
2025-03-30 2.781198 4.067167 6.339344 11.377387 25.761217 95.633542 17958.389204
2025-04-06 2.615664 3.838564 6.013131 10.884182 25.062725 97.445727 96476.128700
2025-04-13 2.484906 3.662979 5.774920 10.567954 24.874023 102.944572 NaN
2025-04-20 2.399401 3.561466 5.671196 10.558589 25.744327 118.470796 NaN
2025-04-27 2.409332 3.628753 5.902937 11.411364 30.147274 182.002951 NaN
2025-05-04 2.381764 3.626220 5.994262 11.929163 33.635937 263.207333 NaN
2025-05-11 2.312938 3.543595 5.913072 11.973118 35.148175 330.353120 NaN
2025-05-18 2.280930 3.527095 5.968719 12.407119 38.801206 509.223216 NaN